On August 31st, I said that the Braves would not win 100 games. At that point, they were 82-54, and they would need to go 18-8 to get to 100. Since then, the Braves have gone 5-0, and my prediction looks pretty bunk. We shall see. They would need to go just 13-8 from here on out to reach 100 wins. It looks good.
So does Max Fried. As of last night, the man sits at 3.1 fWAR in 29 games, 27 of them starts. He’s looking at a 4+ fWAR season if he began the season in the rotation. He sits at 16 wins now with an outside shot at winning 20. In 209 career IP, he now has a 3.70 ERA, 225 strike outs in those 209 innings, and Tony Wolfe with Fangraphs says that he has raised his ceiling. Agreed.
As has Ronald Acuna. He now sits at 36 37 (thanks Dusty) home runs and 34 stolen bases. As I said, we have 21 games left, so he needs a stolen base every 3-4 games, so we’ll be down to the wire on that.
There was so much negativity in the offseason. After November 23rd of last year, the Braves pretty much did nothing. Every free agent went off the board to other teams, JT Realmuto went to Philly, and there was much frustration. But we just beat the perennial Offseason Champions in the Nats, and even if the Nats win the next 3, they’ll still be 5 games back with then 18 games left. But Brian Snitker is not Fredi Gonzalez, and I don’t see this team coughing up this lead.