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20 Mar

Random predictions

These are all off the top of my head, don’t hold me to them. Unless they’re right, in which case I’m a genius.

Carlos Delgado: .210/.299/.340, 84 games
First manager fired: Ned Yost
Number of accusations that now I’m just baiting Brewer fans: 23
Dusty Baker throws Homer Bailey under the bus: April 17
Dusty throws Joey Votto under the bus: May 22
Jay Bruce: June 11
Dodgers’ most usual starting outfield, left to right: Juan Pierre, Andruw Jones, Delwyn Young
Number of times media points out that Joe Torre doesn’t know what he’s doing: 0
Number of times media will say that the Yankees would be winning with Torre: too many to count
Number of times Hank Steinbrenner says something stupid/insane: even more
Yankees not winning the division will be the fault of: A-Rod, of course
A-Rod’s numbers: .311/.430/.622, 47 HR
Best year nobody will notice because the team sucks: Roy Oswalt
New record: JJ Putz, 59 saves
Should have been a new record: Dusty benches Adam Dunn with two weeks to go, with Dunn trying to break the 200 strikeout plateau. Oh, and with 47 homers.
Worst team: Giants, 59-103
Best team: Red Sox, 100-62
Surprise team: Nats, above .500 until late July
Worst race: Cubs win NL Central by 12 games… with 87 wins
Best race: Braves, Phillies, Mets divided by three games
Most tediously overcovered race: AL East
Rangers finally turn catcher over to Saltalamacchia: Sept. 17
Stu’s new second-favorite team: Rays, when they pick Pedro Alvarez first overall
Worst token All-Star: Brian Wilson, Giants
Over/under on ESPN Beach Boy jokes about Wilson: 62 1/2, not counting repeats
Braves clinch: Saturday, Sept. 27, in Houston.
Last out: Brad Ausmus

68 Responses to “Random predictions”

  1. 1
    clarke Says:

    Great picks- growing up quite a bit in Tampa, I’m all for the Rays turning the page and winning some games. But if they pick Alvarez, when they already have Longoria, I might cry.

    Oh and if the Delgado prediction is even a little bit true, the Mets will be screwed. Can’t wait for the season.
    Go Braves!

  2. 2
    Stu Says:

    I will be somewhat surprised if Alvarez makes it to the major leagues as a 3B. He’s athletic with good hands, but he’s incredibly inconsistent defensively. His bat can carry any corner position, so I’d expect to see him as a LF (a la Pat the Bat) or a 1B eventually. Anyway, I think they’ll have a place for both Longoria and Petey.

    And, if they do go for Commodores with the top pick in consecutive years, they will enter a tight race for my second-favorite team with the Indians, who have both Jeremy Sowers and Jensen Lewis, two guys I actually knew in school. Both really good guys, too, by the way. (Of course, I’m Facebook Friends with Price and Alvarez, so there’s that.)

  3. 3
    clarke Says:

    Stu,
    Yeah I am just worried because the Rays have been so incompetent for so long. But the buzz around town is excited- I was home for a bit last week and people were actually talking about them.

  4. 4
    spike (Back in the ATL) Says:

    Hey –

    Cross posted from end of previous thread:

    Jair Jurrgens rated as one of the top 4 underrated prospects in baseball

    http://www.baseball-intellect.com/Articles/most-underrated-prospects.html

    I think that’s a compliment of some kind…

  5. 5
    Stu Says:

    The ominous injury prediction is terrifying, though…

  6. 6
    Hack Says:

    Just a note, Hudson vs. Verlander on SportSouth and MLB.TV tonight.

  7. 7
    mraver Says:

    Nicely done, Mac. I think your prediction about Williams is just plain Fun, Fun, Fun.

    I definitely agree with Mac on the Giants’ chances this year; I don’t think anyone’s thinks they’re giving off Good Vibrations.

    Frankly, that team plays like a bunch of California Girls.

    .
    .
    .

    SLOOP JOHN B!!!!

  8. 8
    jea Says:

    Wilson and his team certainly don’t make anyone smile.

  9. 9
    Another Alex R. Says:

    I’ll take the over on ESPN Brian Wilson jokes, please. Anyone want to let me take their money?

  10. 10
    ububba Says:

    As I’ve mentioned before, this year’s Yankee season is about “the trade they didn’t make.”

    So if and when the Yanks trail Boston for any extended period—assuming Hughes & Kennedy aren’t exactly lights-out—the talk will be about Brian Cashman “passing up Santana.”

    Also, look for an ugly crash landing from their $12 Million #5 starter Mike Mussina.

  11. 11
    bledsoe Says:

    I think you’re off on the Nats. They seriously overperformed sending out assorted retreads and rookies to the mound (were led in Ws by setup man Jon Rauch with 9, I think). They needed to pick up some real pitchers this winter and did nothing. I don’t think they’ll be as lucky this year. They’ve got in their lineup:

    1. A newly roid-free 36 year old Paul lo Duca;
    2. A two-headed first baseman, one coming off an 18-month recovery from a broken femur and one reporting 40 lbs over.
    3. A two-headed shortstop, one with an OBP of .306 last year and one who was the worst hitter in the league in 2006.
    4. A “high-upside” wifebeater;
    5. This decade’s version of Dave Kingman;
    6. Three above average hitters in Zim, Belliard and Milledge.

    69-93. And never above .50 after April 15.

  12. 12
    Kevin Lee Says:

    I’m really worried about the final pick. I hate Ausmus. Sumbitch kills us!

  13. 13
    Robert Says:

    I’m really worried about the final pick. I hate Ausmus. Sumbitch kills us!

    He is an excellent out maker though.

  14. 14
    Jason Says:

    Braves clinch: Saturday, Sept. 27, in Houston.

    That would be a nice birthday present for me. It’s also Mike Schmidt’s birthday, but he probably wouldn’t like it as much.

  15. 15
    ububba Says:

    Go-o-o-o Georgia Bulldogs!

  16. 16
    Another Alex R. Says:

    Ah, hell. I had UGA as my cinderella. Well, that screws my bracket.

  17. 17
    ububba Says:

    Ran out of gas, but it was a good run for sure.

  18. 18
    Another Alex R. Says:

    The Nats just released John Patterson, their erstwhile ace. I’d say it’s the end of an era, but it really isn’t. Maybe they’ll find a pitcher off the scrap heap who stays healthy…

  19. 19
    bledsoe Says:

    Patterson semi-burned some bridges by refusing to accept doctors’s advice and just seeking additional opinions until he wound up in Canada seeking treatment for his arm nerve problem by going into a hyperbaric oxygen chamber. Not making this stuff up.

    The real reason was that 1)the Lerners (new owners)are cheap and save a half-mil this way and 2) they didn’t want to send down Matt Chico, who they believe earned the right to stay with his performance last year. Still, he was supposedly the No. 2 starter as of yesterday.

  20. 20
    Marc Schneider Says:

    Wow, Patterson’s a guy I would take a chance on. At his best, he had great stuff. I remember watching him pitch against Smoltz a couple of years ago and he was dominant. Of course, if the Nats are giving up on him, they must really think he’s done.

  21. 21
    barrycuda Says:

    my prediction…….april 17-18………braves lose two in a row…………blame and accusations fly among the braves journal posters. wild talk about the “curse of chris woodward” angry mobs surrounding bobbys’ house because kotsay is 1 for 23.others demanding a personal refund from mike hampton for screwing up “their” payroll. ……….several of them go off looking for tall structures to jump from and are never heard from again.

  22. 22
    bledsoe Says:

    Yeah, but he was mostly living on a live fastball, and he wasn’t cracking 88 in spring training.

  23. 23
    ububba Says:

    I’ve seen Patterson pitch a few strong games, but his track record of injuries should scare most clubs away.

    And then there’s the velocity factor…

  24. 24
    Dan Says:

    Number of times “Andruw would have caught that” said here after flyball drops in center, right-center or left-center?

  25. 25
    Marc Schneider Says:

    @23,

    Number of times that ball falls anywhere in the outfield.

  26. 26
    Brian J. Says:

    I think Tim Lincecum will beat out Roy Oswalt in the “best year ruined by an awful team” sweepstakes, and that this is the Brewers’ year once they move some people around to positions where their gloves won’t kill them.

    If Patterson would accept a trip to Richmond, I’d sign him… but if Patterson would accept that trip, he wouldn’t be available.

  27. 27
    chris Says:

    #23…

    that’s until Schafer comes aboard in late August.

  28. 28
    Rob Cope Says:

    I’m really liking all these crazy predictions. Keep it up guys!

  29. 29
    Rob Cope Says:

    #23

    Another question would be how many of those balls people would say would have been caught by Andruw would have really caught by Andruw. I say less than half…

  30. 30
    Stu Says:

    I think Tim Lincecum will beat out Roy Oswalt in the “best year ruined by an awful team” sweepstakes…

    I’ll take his teammate, Matt Cain.

  31. 31
    Dix Says:

    I predict March 20th as the first time someone writes “I wish Arthur Blank would buy the Braves and increase payroll over $100mil regardless of how much money it causes the team to lose”.

  32. 32
    Mike Says:

    Best season no one will notice: Nick Markakis.

  33. 33
    Mike Says:

    Best season no one will notice, even though his team isn’t terrible: Michael Cuddyer.

  34. 34
    Stu Says:

    Michael Cuddyer sucks. And I will certainly notice Nick Markakis’ great season, as he is the cornerstone of my keeper team.

  35. 35
    ububba Says:

    I like Cuddyer’s arm.

  36. 36
    Another Alex R. Says:

    I’ll be noticing Markakis, meanwhile, because I have him in the Bravesjournal league, which I will lose because I forgot that steals didn’t matter and my top pick went to Jose Reyes.

  37. 37
    Stu Says:

    I badly need pitching in the Braves Journal league. Especially relief pitching, because I have no save accumulators, but starting pitching, too. Anyone besides the two good starters I have–Matt Cain and AJ Burnett–is available on my team. And I have a pretty good, deep offense, so someone make me an offer.

    I got the the draft late (came in for my 3rd pick—fortunately, though I got two stealsy guys with the top two picks, they aren’t otherwise useless) and had to leave after Round 9, so only 10 or so of my picks (including ones from the queue I was able to fill up just before leaving) were actually my picks.

    Not that anyone cares at this point. I just felt like sharing. Oh, and soliciting trade offers.

  38. 38
    Another Alex R. Says:

    Not to turn this into a fantasy baseball board, but I just messaged you, Stu.

  39. 39
    Another Alex R. Says:

    Also, apparently, a UGA fan was holding a sign up today that said “Georgia basketball: a tradition since last Friday.” That’s setting the bar pretty high for fan signs.

  40. 40
    ryan c Says:

    ken rosenthal just picked us to win the world series.

  41. 41
    c. shorter Says:

    God only knows where Braves Journal readers would be without Mac…

    Number of times Ned Yost getting fired (according to Mac’s prediction) leads to posts questioning whether he’ll leapfrog TP as the heir apparent?

  42. 42
    Brad Says:

    Braves win 3-2 in bottom of ninth after Mike Hessman (!) made a retarded error and Josh Anderson got the winning hit.
    Hudson went 6, looked sharp. Tyler Yates sucks.

  43. 43
    urlhix Says:

    Replay on. Too bad about UGA. They had absolutely nothing in the second half.

  44. 44
    ububba Says:

    Just bought Braves/Mets tix at Shea on Friday night, April 25. Seems like plenty of decent seats available. I’m in Section 7 of the Mezz, behind home plate.

    If anyone’s headed to Shea that weekend, gimme a shout. I may go to the Saturday or Sunday game, too.

  45. 45
    Marc Schneider Says:

    March 21, 2008: Bobby Cox says about Tyler Yates (12 walks this spring), “he’s not wild, he’s just missing.”

    September 2, 1939: Bobby Cox, Sr. says that “Poland is ok; those German soldiers barely got in there.”

  46. 46
    Alex R. Says:

    I was at the Verizon center yesterday and all I will say is this. 33 free throws for Xavier, 5 for Georgia.

    And that had nothing to do with fatigue.

    That was the worst & most lopsided officiating I have seen in march Madness in years and I am still simmering angrily about it.

    To the point, a couple of Xavier fans I talked to after the game on the Metro said, “yeah, we got the majority of the calls, that’s true.” (I was nice to them because it was one of the girls’ birthdays yesterday).

    re: Miguel Ascancio

    The Cubs cut him. We should pick him back up.

  47. 47
    Stu Says:

    Our guy was Jose Ascanio.

  48. 48
    Marc Schneider Says:

    It was Jose Ascanio that the Cubs cut.

  49. 49
    Mac Thomason Says:

    He was just sent to AAA, not released.

  50. 50
    Another Alex R. Says:

    Wait, they did? Yeah, we should definitely pick him back up. He was good enough to net us a couple useful role players, and you can never have enough random assorted minor league live arms.

  51. 51
    Stu Says:

    Oh, OK. Alex didn’t provide a link, and I didn’t bother to look it up.

    Plus, I knew Jose had options, so the “cutting” narrative made no sense.

  52. 52
    Another Alex R. Says:

    Here’s the link. Yeah, they sent him to Iowa. The AJC awkwardly used the word “cut” — meaning, kicked from the varsity to the JV, not kicked to the floor.

    I didn’t know whether he had options or not. Oh, well.

  53. 53
    Alex R. Says:

    They listed him as “being cut” and sorry for not providing a link.

    Sorry, I went back to the link and the headline is “Cubs cut ex-Braves pitcher Ascancio making me think he was available.

    Did anyone see the news that John Patterson was released by the Nationals??????

    HERE’S THE LINK:

    http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/wire?section=mlb&id=3303750&campaign=rsssrch&source=atlanta+braves

    Besides the obvious question of should we be taking a look, the Nationals are a team with HORRENDOUS starting pitching options. The last team that should be cutting a potential ace (if healthy) are the Nats.

    Sorry, but I will say it again: Jim Bowden is an idiot.

  54. 54
    joshtothemaxx Says:

    Yay I’m annoying!

    Last call for the bravesjournal3 fantasy baseball league.

    yahoo sports. league id = 140411. password = coxrox. live draft is scheduled for saturday the 22nd at 1:30pm EST.

  55. 55
    MGL Says:

    Smoltz scratched for today due to shoulder tightness.

  56. 56
    Marc Schneider Says:

    Not good. It may not be anything but the possibility of Smoltz starting the season on the DL is sobering.

  57. 57
    Oceanside Mike Says:

    I wonder what happened — did Smoltz accidently touch Hampton?

  58. 58
    Justin Parker Says:

    Stiffness means he didn’t feel free and easy with his delivery. He probably would have went if it were in the season. No need to pitch through it in the Spring though. I’m not worried.

  59. 59
    Rob Cope Says:

    Yeah, I’m not worried about stiffness. Plus, Smoltz is a BA.

  60. 60
    Marc Schneider Says:

    “Stiffness” can be something they call an injury they don’t know about yet. I’m not saying it’s a big deal, but he is a guy that has a history of arm problems.

  61. 61
    braves14 Says:

    He might have woke up with a minor pain and just didn’t wanna pitch today.

    Though if he’s hurt, we’re effed in the blank.

  62. 62
    braves14 Says:

    From the AJC: “Smoltz said if it were a regular-season game, he would have started. “That’d be a no-brainer,” he said.”

    Good to know.

  63. 63
    Alex R. Says:

    Spam filter got me but please see my comments now added late, via Mac, at 53.

    My apologies again on the Ascancio mix up.

  64. 64
    Another Alex R. Says:

    Re: Patterson, I did notice it, and wrote it up at CnC. I’m guessing that we won’t be able to pick him up — there are too many people who’d act first. Plus, I hear he’s a bit of a diva.

  65. 65
    Brad Says:

    Wow, Ryan Drese is horrible. 5 walks, a hit batter and 4 runs given up in 1 inning.

  66. 66
    Brad Says:

    Six walks.

  67. 67
    MGL Says:

    Add to the predictions – Drese will not make the team.

  68. 68
    Brad Says:

    Six runs now.

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